Skip to content
General

Rising gasoline prices further burden pandemic-hit economy

By Aiko TanakaVietnam
2 min read
fuel
fuel
In this article (5)

Duy Anh of Hanoi’s Cau Giay District started off this week by hanging a notice outside his cafe saying the price of coffee had been hiked by 25 percent.

“I know customers will not like it, but I do not have any choice,” he said, explaining that the cost of ingredients and their delivery has risen by 20 percent due to rising gasoline prices.

Many transport companies have either announced or quietly increased prices by around 10 percent last week as the government hiked gasoline retail prices to mirror the increase in global prices. A Ho Chi Minh City transport firm, which asked not be identified, has raised container transport prices by 11 percent and now charges VND3.2 million ($141) for a trip to the neighboring province of Dong Nai.

Tran Duc Nghia, CEO of Delta International, said the transporter is set to hike prices by around 5 percent soon. Gasoline prices in Vietnam are now at an eight-year high, having risen by 11 percent in the last two months. Following the latest adjustment last Friday, the popular RON 95 variety is now close to a record high price.

Global crude prices have climbed to a seven-year high and Vietnam’s biggest refinery Nghi Son has been forced to reduce its production from 105 percent to 80 percent due to a cash crunch. Nguyen Bich Lam, former head of the General Statistics Office, estimates that a 10 percent increase in fuel prices causes GDP growth to drop by around 0.5 percentage points.

Lender HSBC last week raised its inflation forecast for Vietnam from 2.7 percent to 3 percent after factoring in the higher energy prices. The Asian Development Bank pegged the figure at 3.8 percent. Transport companies are between a rock and a hard place since price hikes are hard to sell in an economy hit by Covid-19.

Hai Van International Shipping in HCMC, which transports goods and passengers, has seen revenues fall by up to 70 percent year-on-year in recent weeks due to declining demand.

“We plan to increase fares, but we have yet to do that as there might be a decline in number of passengers.”

Another transport company, Minh Thanh Phat, said the higher fuel price is another blow that put many operators to the verge of bankruptcy amid low demand.

“Continuing to operate will result in losses, while suspending operations means we cannot pay loan interest to banks”.

Economist Ngo Tri Long urged the government to lower special consumption and environmental taxes on gasoline to reduce the pressure on the economy.

Questions & Answers

Q.

What impact are rising fuel costs having on businesses in Vietnam?

A.

Cafe owners are raising prices due to increased ingredient and delivery costs. Transport companies have already hiked or plan to hike prices by 5-11 percent, and some fear bankruptcy due to low demand and higher fuel costs.

Q.

What is the current state of gasoline prices in Vietnam?

A.

Gasoline prices are at an eight-year high, having risen by 11 percent in the last two months. Following the latest adjustment last Friday, the RON 95 variety is now close to a record high price.

Q.

How might rising fuel prices affect Vietnam's overall economy?

A.

A former head of the General Statistics Office estimates that a 10 percent fuel price increase could cause GDP growth to drop by around 0.5 percentage points. HSBC raised its inflation forecast for Vietnam to 3 percent.

Q.

What is affecting Vietnam's Nghi Son refinery production?

A.

The Nghi Son refinery has been forced to reduce its production from 105 percent to 80 percent. This reduction is attributed to a cash crunch, coinciding with global crude prices reaching a seven-year high.

Reader pulse

How should retailers respond to rising fuel costs?

22,489 votes so far

Weekly Briefing

Asia's retail intelligence, in your inbox

Tuesday, Thursday and a Saturday Weekly Wrap: the retail stories, numbers and moves that mattered across Asia. Nothing else, and you can unsubscribe in one click.

  • Top industry moves and market shifts
  • Weekly data-driven analysis from across Asia
  • Tuesday, Thursday and the Saturday Weekly Wrap

Read by retail operators, investors and brand teams across Asia.

Protected by a quick human check. No spam, ever. Unsubscribe in one click.

SecureGDPR ready