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RCS and OTT to fuel A2P business messages to 3.5tr by 2023

By Aiko Tanaka
2 min read
OTT Messaging apps 1920
OTT Messaging apps 1920
In this article (5)

A new study from Juniper Research found that 3.5 trillion business A2P (Application-to-Person) messages will be delivered by 2023, up from an estimated 2.5 trillion in 2019, a 40% growth.

The new Juniper Research paper, A2P Messaging: SMS, RCS & OTT Business Messaging 2019-2023, forecast that the rich media interactivity of RCS (Rich Communications Suite) would make the emerging messaging technology popular for retail and marketing business use cases.

It claimed that this enhanced functionality will drive RCS traffic to an average annual growth of 290% over the next 4 years, to help the growth of operators’ total messaging revenues.

Not enough

However, despite strong growth, RCS will account for only 2% of all A2P traffic by 2023, reaching 56 billion A2P messages. The research suggested that A2P messaging users will continue to use SMS owing to the familiarity of the protocol. As a result, it claimed that the growth of RCS will be mostly driven by new traffic, rather than the migration of existing traffic from SMS.

Research author Sam Barker remarked, “Future growth of RCS traffic will be driven by users migrating away from dedicated mobile apps. The technology will develop to become the first point of contact for RCS users to engage with brands over mobile devices within 5 years”.

OTT business messages future slowed by fragmentation

The research also found that OTT business messaging platforms, such as WhatsApp for Business, will deliver 236 billion messages by 2023. However, they will continue to suffer from a fragmented user base across multiple messaging applications.

The research cited the use of CPaaS (Communications-Platform-as-a-Service) solutions as essential to enable fallback onto the ubiquitous SMS protocol to ensure message termination. Additionally, it found these platforms will allow the collection of insightful data, including contact preferences, to enable A2P business users to optimize messaging campaigns.

Questions & Answers

Q.

What is the expected overall growth rate for Application-to-Person (A2P) business messages by 2023?

A.

The study forecasts a 40% growth in A2P business messages between 2019 and 2023. This will see the number of messages increase from an estimated 2.5 trillion to 3.5 trillion over the four-year period.

Q.

How much A2P traffic is RCS predicted to account for by 2023, despite its strong growth?

A.

Despite strong growth, RCS is only expected to account for 2% of all A2P traffic by 2023. This equates to 56 billion A2P messages, indicating its share will remain relatively small initially.

Q.

What factor is expected to slow the future growth of business messages sent via OTT platforms?

A.

The research suggests that a fragmented user base across multiple messaging applications will continue to hinder the growth of OTT business messaging platforms. This makes it challenging for businesses to reach all their customers effectively.

Q.

What will drive the future growth of RCS traffic, according to research author Sam Barker?

A.

Sam Barker states that the future growth of RCS traffic will be driven by users moving away from dedicated mobile apps. The technology is expected to become the primary contact point for engaging with brands on mobile devices.

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