Krung Thai Bank makes profit

KTB posted 3Q15 earnings of Bt5.3bn, plunging 42% YoY and 37% QoQ. The result was 11% below our forecast but 4% below the Bloomberg consensus. This was attributable to bigger loan-loss provisioning (LLP) than was modeled. KTB set its 3Q15 LLP of Bt10.5bn against our numbers of Bt8.5bn. Pre-provision operating profit was Bt17bn, up 21% YoY but down 1% QoQ. The 9M15 earnings represent 90% of our FY15 earnings projection.

Results highlights

Lending was up 0.2% QoQ and 1.6% YTD—in line with our forecast. NIM for the quarter came in at 3.04%, up 3bps QoQ and 19bps, boosted by greater emphasis on the corporate and retail sectors and well managed funding cost from the previous quarter. LLP soared 270% YoY and 39% QoQ to Bt10.5bn (equaling credit cost of 2.1%). Note that the bank received a tax benefit of about Bt300m from troubled debt restructuring and extra LLP for Sahaviriya Steel Industry (SSI) in the quarter. Therefore, its corporate tax rate was down to 15% in 3Q15 from 18% in the same period last year.

KTB’s NPL/loan ratio rose to 4.03% at end-September from 2.96% three months earlier (from SSI, and the small SME and retail sectors). Likewise, its loan-loss-coverage ratio dipped to 103% in 3Q15 from 125% last quarter. Fee income inched up 41% YoY and 12% QoQ to Bt7.3bn in 3Q15. OPEX was Bt12.2bn, an increase of 19% YoY but down 1% QoQ. KTB’s 3Q15 cost/income ratio was 44.2%, close to last quarter and down from the 45.6% reached in the same period last year.