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Vietnam’s Auto Association Alerts: Proposed Fuel Standard Could Eliminate 96% of Cars by 2030!

By Rajiv MenonVietnam
2 min read
vietnam auto import
vietnam auto import
In this article (9)

In a significant move for the automotive sector, the Ministry of Construction is inviting input from various agencies regarding a bold proposal to mandate that all passenger cars achieve a fuel efficiency of 4.83 liters per 100 kilometers by 2030. This regulation notably exempts electric vehicles, allowing them to steer clear of stringent fuel efficiency requirements.

Fuel Consumption Credits as a Safety Net

Under this proposed regulation, manufacturers unable to meet the efficiency standard will have the option to purchase fuel consumption credits from those who do. This system mirrors the carbon credit trading mechanisms found globally, suggesting a creative approach to encouraging fuel efficiency.

Manufacturers Urged to Innovate

The message is clear: manufacturers are encouraged to innovate by upgrading technology, phasing out fuel-hungry vehicles, and expanding their lineup of fuel-efficient models. Failure to comply after a three-year grace period could lead to the discontinuation of production or importation until a viable alternative plan is conceived.

The message is clear: manufacturers are encouraged to innovate by upgrading technology, phasing out fuel-hungry vehicles, and expanding their lineup of fuel-efficient models.

Industry Concerns About Stringent Standards

However, not everyone is on board with this aggressive approach. The Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association (VAMA), representing 17 manufacturers, has labeled the proposed efficiency threshold as “too strict.” They warn that a staggering 96% of gasoline vehicles and 14% of hybrid models would not meet these ambitious requirements. For example, Toyota’s widely popular Vios would fall short at 5.08 liters per 100 kilometers in its most efficient variant, while the Yaris Cross Hybrid performs admirably at 3.56 to 3.8 liters per 100 kilometers.

A Shift Towards Electrification

VAMA argues that to meet the proposed standards while sustaining current sales volumes, the industry would need to boost the share of electrified vehicles nearly tenfold over the next five years. Given the current limitations in charging infrastructure and consumer hesitance toward electric vehicles, this target may be a bit like trying to fit a square peg into a round hole.

A Compromise on Fuel Efficiency Targets

In light of these challenges, VAMA has suggested a more gradual approach. Their alternative proposal recommends achieving fuel efficiency targets of 6.7 liters per 100 kilometers by 2027, 6.5 by 2028, 6.3 by 2029, and finally reaching 6 liters in 2030. This roadmap would involve a 34% reduction in gasoline vehicle production, alongside a dramatic 366% increase in electric vehicle sales — a far more feasible scenario, according to industry leaders.

Questions & Answers

Q.

What is the proposed fuel efficiency target for passenger cars by 2030?

A.

The proposed target is 4.83 liters per 100 kilometers for all passenger cars by 2030.

Q.

How will manufacturers who fail to meet the efficiency standards be penalized?

A.

Manufacturers who do not meet the standards after three years may have to halt production or importation until they establish an appropriate alternative plan.

Q.

What alternative targets has VAMA suggested instead of the initial proposal?

A.

VAMA suggests a more realistic gradual approach: 6.7 liters per 100 kilometers in 2027, 6.5 in 2028, 6.3 in 2029, and 6 liters in 2030.

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