Pakistan Cotton Arrivals Rise 7.5 Percent to 4.08 Million Bales
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Cotton arrivals at Pakistani ginning factories reached 4.08 million bales by October 15, rising 7.53 percent year-on-year despite widespread textile plant shutdowns.
Data from the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association shows total intake climbed to 4,081,265 bales, up 285,628 bales from the 3,795,637 recorded in the same period last season.
Domestic mills bought 3.45 million bales and exporters booked 97,000 bales, leaving 531,530 bales unsold across active yards. Total arrivals during the preceding fortnight stood at 872,863 bales, processed by 471 operational ginning facilities nationwide.
Regional Yields and Mill Disruption
Sindh drove the bulk of volume with 2.44 million bales, up 7.35 percent from last year, led by Sanghar district at 1.14 million bales. Sukkur followed with 264,500 bales, Naushehro Feroze with 223,200 and Khairpur with 213,900.
Punjab recorded arrivals of 1.64 million bales, representing a 7.79 percent increase. Bahawalnagar posted 418,750 bales, Bahawalpur delivered 294,606, Dera Ghazi Khan produced 236,514, Rahim Yar Khan reached 169,949 and Layyah logged 122,327.
The higher volume arrives against severe industrial curtailment. Trade bodies report approximately 500 ginning factories and more than 150 spinning and weaving mills have shut operations, while roughly half of Pakistan’s power looms remain idle.
Synthetic Influx Distorts Local Pricing
Local processors blame soaring energy tariffs and leakages under the Export Facilitation Scheme for depressing domestic fiber demand. Under the programme, duty-free imported yarn and fabric intended for export finishing are instead diverted into the local market, bypassing the standard 18 percent sales tax paid by domestic suppliers.
“Domestic mills bought 3.45 million bales and exporters booked 97,000 bales, leaving 531,530 bales unsold across active yards.”
Import figures from the All Pakistan Textile Mills Association reveal man-made yarn shipments jumped to 12,773 tonnes in the first quarter of the 2026-27 fiscal year, up from 3,056 tonnes a year earlier. Man-made fabric imports surged from 660 tonnes to 8,628 tonnes over the identical timeframe.
Cotton Ginners Forum Chairman Ihsanul Haq noted that traders brought an estimated 40 million to 50 million metres of fabric from China alone under the concessionary system without generating matching finished garment export growth.
Crop Estimates and Farmer Margins
Discrepancies in official output tracking complicate procurement planning for regional apparel makers. The Punjab Crop Reporting Service estimated provincial crop output at 2.983 million bales, creating a sharp divergence against the ginners association tally of 1.638 million bales received by mid-October.
Central Cotton Research Institute transfer of technology head Sajid Mahmood warned that higher raw output will not stabilize the supply chain if farmgate returns fall below cultivation costs. Farmers facing compressed margins are expected to shift acreage toward competing crops next spring if lint prices fail to cover inputs.
Karachi Cotton Brokers Forum leader Naseem Usman urged authorities to establish a direct floor price and an official buying mechanism to prevent distressed sales if open-market rates slide further.
Harvest Run Out
Picking operations enter their final 15 to 20 days across core farming belts in southern Punjab and upper Sindh. The Central Cotton Research Institute has instructed growers with plants bearing eight to 10 green bolls to apply a foliar spray of two kilograms of urea per 100 litres of water to accelerate boll opening before seasonal temperatures drop.
Customs authorities have initiated targeted inspections against trading firms suspected of misusing import exemptions, while mills push Islamabad for formal quota caps on incoming synthetic yarn before second-quarter contracts settle.