Middle class driving Chinese cross-border e-commerce

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A growing middle class in China that likes shopping for foreign brands is helping drive cross-border e-commerce spending, according to a forecast by research company eMarketer.
However, it warns of a growth slowdown ahead.
Total cross-border e-commerce sales in China are expected to reach US$100 billion by the end of this year, with the average buyer spend of $882. This average has increased since eMarketer’s previous forecast thanks to a growing awareness in China of overseas brands, as well as improved logistics and the perception that foreign goods are of better quality.
Also contributing to the growth is the popularity of JD Worldwide, Kaola and Tmall Global, sites that have made it easier for shoppers to access overseas products, says the eMarketer report.
It also notes that 23 per cent of digital buyers in China will make at least one cross-border purchase, but growth in these purchases will start to slow as preference switches to local brands for some categories, such as fashion. Realising the demand for better-quality goods, Chinese brands are starting to adapt, says the report.
However, eMarketer senior forecasting analyst Shelleen Shum says that with shopping sites adding more brands and improving cross-border logistics and processing times, foreign brands still have an opportunity to tap into the demand for high-quality products, especially in categories like baby, maternity, health and beauty.
Questions & Answers
Q.What is the expected value of cross-border e-commerce sales in China by the end of this year?
What is the expected value of cross-border e-commerce sales in China by the end of this year?
Total cross-border e-commerce sales in China are forecast to reach US$100 billion by the end of this year. This figure is driven by the growing middle class and their interest in foreign brands.
Q.Why has the average spend per cross-border buyer increased according to eMarketer?
Why has the average spend per cross-border buyer increased according to eMarketer?
The average spend has risen due to increased awareness of overseas brands, better logistics, and the belief that foreign goods offer superior quality. The ease of access provided by sites like JD Worldwide also contributes.
Q.What factors are expected to cause a slowdown in cross-border e-commerce growth?
What factors are expected to cause a slowdown in cross-border e-commerce growth?
Growth is predicted to slow as some Chinese digital buyers begin to favour local brands, particularly in categories like fashion. Chinese domestic brands are also starting to offer better quality goods.
Q.Which specific product categories still offer strong opportunities for foreign brands?
Which specific product categories still offer strong opportunities for foreign brands?
Foreign brands still have a good chance to capitalise on demand for high-quality products in categories such as baby, maternity, health, and beauty. Shopping sites are also improving cross-border logistics.