Indonesia’s growth in 2015 slows for fifth consecutive year

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Growth in South East Asia’s largest economy, Indonesia, has come in at 4.76% for 2015, marking the fifth consecutive yearly decline. Weaker commodity prices and consumer spending, together with a slowdown in its key trading partner, China, has hurt growth. Towards the end of last year, however, the economy expanded by just over 5%, boosted by government spending. President Joko Widodo had promised to lift annual growth to 7% on average.
However, the country has seen an average of just under 6% growth over the past decade and analysts have said growth is unlikely to improve for some time.
“The fourth quarter data is a positive surprise,” economist Tony Nash told.
“But unfortunately the uptick will likely be short lived. We expect deterioration in the first quarter and it’ll be tough to regain growth momentum before 2017,” he added.
Mr Widodo made his promise to raise growth when his five-year term began in 2014, but he has faced problems boosting government spending and has seen several large infrastructure projects delayed.
A $5.5bn high-speed railway project, funded by China, was signed last year and is scheduled to be up and running by 2019.
But the project has faced widespread objections from transport experts and its long-term viability has been questioned.
Mr Widodo has also faced international condemnation for the country’s man-made forest fires, which have caused serious economic and environmental damage.
In December, the World Bank said Indonesia’s forest fires last year had likely cost the country more than twice the amount spent on reconstruction efforts after the 2004 Aceh tsunami.
In its quarterly report, the bank said the fires had cost some 221tn Indonesian rupiah ($15.72bn; £10.5bn).
It added that regional and global costs would be much higher.
Questions & Answers
Q.What factors contributed to Indonesia's economic slowdown in 2015?
What factors contributed to Indonesia's economic slowdown in 2015?
Weaker commodity prices and consumer spending were key factors. Also, a slowdown in China, a major trading partner, also negatively impacted Indonesia's economic growth during 2015.
Q.Did Indonesia's economy show any signs of improvement at the end of last year?
Did Indonesia's economy show any signs of improvement at the end of last year?
Yes, towards the end of last year, the economy expanded by just over 5%. This uptick was reportedly boosted by increased government spending. However, analysts expect this improvement to be short-lived.
Q.What is the expected long-term outlook for Indonesia's economic growth?
What is the expected long-term outlook for Indonesia's economic growth?
Analysts believe growth is unlikely to improve for some time. Economist Tony Nash predicts a deterioration in the first quarter and does not expect growth momentum to be regained before 2017.
Q.What impact did the man-made forest fires have on Indonesia's economy?
What impact did the man-made forest fires have on Indonesia's economy?
The World Bank estimated the forest fires last year likely cost Indonesia more than twice the amount spent on reconstruction after the 2004 Aceh tsunami. The cost was estimated at 221tn Indonesian rupiah.
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