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China Crude Oil Imports Climb to 7.84 Million Barrels Daily as Stockpiles Fall

By Rajiv MenonChina
2 min read
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China increased crude oil imports to 7.84 million barrels per day in September, up from 7.25 million in August as refiners slowed stock drawdowns.

The intake marks the highest buying level in four months, reversing an aggressive inventory clearance that had sheltered domestic transport fleets from global price volatility.

Customs figures show August imports rose 6.2 per cent month-on-month to 37.9 million tonnes. Buying remains more than 23 per cent below year-earlier volumes, when imports ran at 9.76 million barrels daily. Sourcing patterns shifted sharply this month: shipments from Iraq jumped past 1 million barrels per day from 177,000 in August, while deliveries from Saudi Arabia and Iran dropped.

Refiners face margin squeeze under state price caps

Commercial and state stockpiles shrank from 1.25 billion barrels in April to 1.14 billion barrels in September, according to trade intelligence firm Kpler. For five months, Chinese refiners met domestic fuel demand by burning through reserves rather than purchasing expensive seaborne cargoes, muting inflationary pressure across freight networks.

That buffer is now wearing thin. With stockpiles down by 110 million barrels since spring, processors must step up spot purchases even as international benchmarks hover near 100 dollars a barrel. For freight operators and consumer goods distributors across mainland logistics corridors, higher landing costs for crude will filter directly into road haulage rates and plastic packaging feedstock.

Customs figures show August imports rose 6.2 per cent month-on-month to 37.9 million tonnes.

State retail pricing rules cap fuel price adjustments once international crude tops 80 dollars a barrel. When global prices trade higher, refiners absorb the difference directly on their balance sheets, squeezing operating cash flow at major petrochemical complexes.

Higher crude prices are now eroding Chinese refining margins, as domestic product prices are regulated above US$80 per barrel.

Electric fleets limit domestic fuel demand rebound

Between April and August, Chinese crude purchases trailed 2025 volumes by roughly 3.2 million barrels daily. Beyond inventory drawdowns, structural consumption shifted: new-energy vehicles took more than 65 per cent of total passenger car sales over the summer, permanently removing a slice of urban petrol demand.

Downstream transport operators in regional logistics hubs will see little relief on diesel prices despite the passenger transition. Beijing holds roughly four to six months of total oil cover across strategic and commercial sites, giving authorities room to restrict refined-product export quotas to protect domestic fuel supply.

Supply disruptions force shifts to Iraqi crude

The import pickup coincides with export disruptions across key trade corridors, including strikes on Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline and terminal damage at Russia’s Novorossiysk facility. These bottlenecks forced Chinese trading desks to secure alternate supplies quickly, driving the sudden surge in Iraqi crude fixtures.

Refiners are now balancing fourth-quarter crude intake targets against quarterly product export quotas, with domestic processing runs expected to stay below pre-crisis highs through October.

Questions & Answers

Q.

Why did China increase its crude oil imports in September compared to August?

A.

Refiners increased crude oil imports in September because they slowed their stock drawdowns. This followed an aggressive inventory clearance that had sheltered domestic transport fleets from global price volatility, but this buffer was wearing thin.

Q.

How have China's crude oil sourcing patterns changed recently?

A.

Shipments from Iraq jumped significantly, surpassing one million barrels per day, compared to 177,000 in August. Concurrently, deliveries from Saudi Arabia and Iran both saw a reduction during this period.

Q.

What impact do high crude oil prices have on Chinese refiners?

A.

Refiners face a margin squeeze because state retail pricing rules cap fuel price adjustments when international crude oil tops 80 dollars a barrel. This means refiners absorb the difference directly, eroding their operating cash flow.

Q.

How is the growth of electric vehicles affecting China's domestic fuel demand?

A.

New-energy vehicles accounted for over 65 per cent of total passenger car sales over the summer, which permanently removes a slice of urban petrol demand. This structural shift contributes to limiting the rebound in domestic fuel consumption.

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