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Vietnam’s authority no longer certain about 2020 GDP target

By Minjun ParkVietnam
2 min read
vietnam retail
vietnam retail
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Vietnam’s GDP per capita is set to increase this year, but its 2020 target of $3,200-3,500 looks distant. Minister of Planning and Investment Nguyen Chi Dung said at a National Assembly meeting Monday that if Vietnam’s GDP increases by 6.7 percent this year, per capita GDP will reach $2,540, up $155, or 6.1 percent year-on-year, and 1.21 times that of 2015.

However, the number is still far away from the country’s target of $3,200-3,500 by 2020, he conceded.

According to World Bank Group statistics, Vietnam’s GDP per capita in 2017 is $2,343. The figure for Singapore is $57,714, Malaysia ($9,945), Thailand ($6,594), the Philippines ($2,989) and Myanmar ($1,298).

Minister Dung estimated that Vietnam’s GDP would grow by 6.57 percent on average in the 2016-2018 period, meeting the National’s Assembly target of 6.5-6.7 percent growth.

However, he expressed concerns about the increasing number of businesses that stopped operations in the first nine months of this year.

While 96,610 new businesses opened, 73,100 closed, up 48 percent year-on-year.

These figures worried government officials at the meeting. Vu Hong Thanh, Chairman of the National Assembly’s Economic Committee, said that the goal of having one million businesses by 2020 will be “difficult to achieve.”

Last year Vietnam had over 560,000 active businesses, up 11 percent year-on-year, according to the General Statistics Office.

But in another meeting last week, Deputy Prime Minster Vuong Dinh Hue said that the goal “is full of challenges, but achievable.”

Hue said that how strong these businesses are and how much they can contribute to the economy is more important.

“The government aims to practically improve the business environment by not imposing more conditions,” he said.

In the first nine months this year, Vietnam’s GDP grew by 6.98 percent, the highest nine-month growth rate since 2011. The economy grew by 6.81 percent last year, the highest rate in a decade.

Questions & Answers

Q.

What is the anticipated GDP per capita for Vietnam by the end of this year?

A.

If Vietnam's GDP grows by 6.7 percent this year, the per capita GDP is expected to reach $2,540. This figure would represent an increase of $155, or 6.1 percent, compared to the previous year.

Q.

What is the current official position on Vietnam's goal of one million businesses by 2020?

A.

The Chairman of the National Assembly's Economic Committee believes the goal of one million businesses by 2020 will be difficult to achieve. However, the Deputy Prime Minister stated it is challenging but achievable.

Q.

How many businesses ceased operations in Vietnam during the first nine months of this year?

A.

In the first nine months of this year, 73,100 businesses in Vietnam stopped operations. This represents a 48 percent increase year-on-year, causing concern among government officials.

Q.

How does Vietnam's GDP per capita compare to other regional countries, according to recent figures?

A.

Vietnam's GDP per capita in 2017 was $2,343. This is significantly lower than Singapore ($57,714), Malaysia ($9,945), and Thailand ($6,594), but higher than Myanmar ($1,298).

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