Kowloon Office Rental Market Set for 9% to 11% Decline in 2023: What’s Driving the Shift?

As the office market in Kowloon grapples with a substantial oversupply, the atmosphere has become increasingly cautious among tenants. Steve Ng, Executive Director and Head of Kowloon Office Strategy & Solutions at Knight Frank, pointed out that the first half of the year has been particularly challenging, with more than 6.7 million square feet of new and existing inventory flooding the market.

Stagnation Reigns in Kowloon

“Demand remains scattered, with only a handful of significant transactions occurring,” Ng remarked, highlighting a widespread sentiment of hesitation among tenants opting for a “wait-and-see” approach. As a result, the marketplace appears stagnant, with little sign of a turnaround.

Declining Rents and Rising Vacancies

In June 2025, Kowloon office rents experienced a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, dropping to less than HK$1 per square foot. This figure hints at a broader trend of weakness within the market. The office vacancy rate has increased modestly by 1.2%, affirming a lack of confidence in a potential recovery. Tenant sentiments reveal a prevailing wariness and anticipation of further drops, signaling that any signs of recovery might still be far off.

Trade Pressures Loom Large

Many tenants in Kowloon are entrenched in supply chain industries such as manufacturing, trading, and logistics. Despite a temporary pause in the US tariff conflict, ongoing trade pressures continue to rattle these sectors, leading to sustained weak demand for office space. With an oversupply that shows no signs of abating, we project a further decline in office rents in Kowloon, expecting a drop of 9% to 11% in 2025. Perhaps it’s time to think about converting those empty spaces into trendy pop-up shops or art galleries—there’s always a silver lining!