Skip to content
General

China first quarter GDP growth slowest since 2009

By Aiko TanakaChina
2 min read
Screenshot 2016 04 19 20.01.28
Screenshot 2016 04 19 20.01.28
In this article (6)

The pace of China’s economic growth decreased to its lowest since the global financial crisis in the January to March period, official figures show. Gross domestic product expanded 6.7% from the same period a year ago, in line with market expectations but the slowest pace of growth recorded since the first quarter of 2009.

The world’s second largest economy grew 6.9% last year – its weakest expansion in a quarter century – falling short of Beijing’s target of 7%. But the first quarter number falls within the range of Beijing’s growth target of 6.5% to 7% for 2016.

Other data for March released by the National Bureau of Statistics suggested that the Chinese economy was stabilising, with industrial output, retail sales and urban fixed-asset investment all beating analyst forecasts.

Industrial production rose 6.8% from a year earlier following a 5.4% increase in January-February, while retail sales jumped 10.5%. Fixed-asset investment expanded 10.7% in the three months to March period compared to the same period a year ago, beating expectations for a 10.5% rise.

‘Robust growth’

The GDP data comes two days after China’s customs agency said exports increased 11.5% from a year earlier in March, the first positive growth in overseas shipments in nine months. Imports were down a less-than-expected 7.6% following a 13.8% drop in the previous month, while the trade surplus came in at $29.9bn (£21bn; €26.3bn).

China first quarter GDP growth slowest since 2009
China’s central bank says it will target stability in the yuan exchange rateReuters
China first quarter GDP growth slowest since 2009

Meanwhile, a Chinese deputy central bank governor said the economy had performed robustly in the first quarter but admitted that it faced several headwinds.

“I’m pretty confident that we are going to have between 6.5% to 7% growth this year,” Yi Gang said. He reiterated that the central bank would target stability in the yuan and not allow the currency to “overshoot” its exchange rate by too much.

Questions & Answers

Q.

Did the first quarter GDP growth meet Beijing's expectations for 2016?

A.

Yes, the 6.7% growth falls within Beijing's target range of 6.5% to 7% for 2016.

Q.

How did investors react to the news of the slowest GDP growth since 2009?

A.

Investors reacted negatively to the data, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite index falling 0.3% at mid-day.

Q.

What other economic indicators suggest stability despite the GDP figures?

A.

Industrial output, retail sales, and urban fixed-asset investment all beat analyst forecasts in March, suggesting the economy was stabilising.

Q.

What is the central bank's stance on the yuan's exchange rate?

A.

The central bank will target stability in the yuan and aims to prevent the currency from overshooting its exchange rate by too much.

Reader pulse

Is China stabilising?

22,877 votes so far

Weekly Briefing

Asia's retail intelligence, in your inbox

Tuesday, Thursday and a Saturday Weekly Wrap: the retail stories, numbers and moves that mattered across Asia. Nothing else, and you can unsubscribe in one click.

  • Top industry moves and market shifts
  • Weekly data-driven analysis from across Asia
  • Tuesday, Thursday and the Saturday Weekly Wrap

Read by retail operators, investors and brand teams across Asia.

Protected by a quick human check. No spam, ever. Unsubscribe in one click.

SecureGDPR ready