Australian Home Values Slide 1.2% in October as Capital City Slump Accelerates

Australian dwelling prices dropped 1.2 percent in October, registering a seventh consecutive monthly fall that pulled national values 6.7 percent below their March peak. That decline strips roughly A$63,400 ($44,528) from the median home value as borrowing limits bite.

Capital city markets bore the brunt of the downturn, falling 8.1 percent over the past seven months. That extends the pullback beyond the 7 percent drop seen in 2022 when the Reserve Bank of Australia initiated its post-pandemic rate-tightening cycle.

Brisbane and Perth Lead Capital Declines

Mid-sized capital cities that saw rapid value spikes over the last six years registered the sharpest drops during the month. Brisbane property values fell 2.0 percent in October, while Perth dropped 1.7 percent. Over the past three months, values retreated 6.1 percent in Brisbane and 5.7 percent in Perth.

Sydney dwelling prices fell 1.6 percent in October, bringing the median dwelling price to A$1,178,959. That puts Sydney 10.1 percent below its February peak and 1.5 percent below levels seen in October 2021. Melbourne retreated 0.8 percent, leaving prices 7.3 percent lower than five years ago. Hobart and Darwin recorded modest increases of 0.5 percent and 0.6 percent respectively.

Property owners retain built-in valuation buffers despite the monthly drops. Brisbane values stand 46.1 percent higher than five years ago, while Perth properties retain a 68.3 percent gain over the same timeframe. Annual price growth in Brisbane flattened to 0.4 percent in October, down from 18 percent in May.

Transaction Volumes and Auction Clearances Slip

Buyer demand slowed across major metropolitan areas, with estimated home sales over the past three months down 23 percent year-on-year. Sydney transaction volumes fell 30 percent, while Brisbane dropped 29 percent. Median time on market lengthened to 39 days, the longest period recorded since August 2020, while vendor discounts expanded to an average of 4.7 percent.

Auction markets reflected similar hesitation entering November. Preliminary clearance rates across combined capitals reached 47.2 percent from 1,735 auctions in the week ending November 1, marking the weakest result since April 2020. Brisbane auction clearances settled at 26.2 percent, finishing under the 30 percent threshold for the fourth time in five weeks.