Holiday Season in Hong Kong: Good for Sales, Good for Theft

With the holiday season fast approaching, a study report reveals that retailers around the world will experience both their highest sales and shrink distributions during this period. According to the 2016 Retail Holiday Season Global Forecast, 30% of the losses Hong Kong retailers incur due to internal and external theft will come during the holiday season, with apparel, children’s toys and electronics emerging the favourites among thieves.

Theft from internal sources (primarily via employee theft and other sales reducing activities) and external factors (primarily via shoplifting/organized retail crime), which is referred to as shrink by retailers, is at its peak during the holiday season, which also sees 27% of annual retail sales of a retailer in Hong Kong .

The study, underwritten by an independent grant from Checkpoint Systems , Inc., was carried out by Ernie Deyle , a retail loss prevention analyst, and provides an analytical view of business risks that major retailers face during this holiday season. The 13 markets covered in the report include North America , Europe and Asia , and include the U.S., Belgium , France , Germany , Italy , Netherlands , Portugal , Spain , UK, Australia , mainland China , Hong Kong and Japan .

Mark Gentle , Vice President — Merchandise Availability Solutions Asia Pacific, Checkpoint Systems, said, “Building holiday inventories earlier and specifically for high-risk items may lead to increased sales reduction pressures, such as markdowns and shrink throughout the fourth-quarter. The report reveals that nearly 30% of sales reducing activities are incurred during this time period. This leads to increased shrink, and puts additional strains on brick-and-mortar retailers already reeling from an ongoing inhospitable retail market.”

Even though Hong Kong has the lowest proportion of Q4 losses due to shrink of all the 13 markets surveyed, it is still significant and over 30% higher than during the first two quarters of the year.

In addition, the cost of retail loss to Hong Kong shoppers in 2016, as absorbed or passed on from retailers, is expected to be HK$175 per person on average, of which HK$53 , or one-third, will be incurred during the holiday season. These increases in losses place an enormous burden on retailers and, ultimately, on honest consumers who pay for it in higher prices.

“For most retailers, wholesalers and distributors, inventory — including the space to store it — is the largest single cost of doing business. While reducing inventory means lower costs, insufficient inventory leads to out of stock situations, lost sales and unhappy customers. Therefore balancing these two factors is critical to profitability and growth, particularly in omni-channel environments,” said Mr. Gentle.

“The use of advanced data analytic tools, inventory management strategies, along with technologies such as RFID will provide retailers with enhanced visibility to track merchandise as it moves through the supply chain to distribution centers, retail backrooms and store shelves, helping retailers reduce losses due to shrink and other causes, ultimately increasing the financial contribution of each item.”

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